In an article entitled "Mission Improbable" the Economist talks about Castro's increasing confidence and his harsh crackdown on dissent. Castro has numerous reasons to pleased with the current political atmosphere.
China and Venezuela have given Cuba's economy, which is showing minimal signs of recovery, a boost. The EU has abandoned its tough stance on Cuba and suspended its sanctions for 6 months. A EU commissioner for aid even visited Cuba last week. Finally, the left-of-center governments in Latin America have also been more sympathetic to Cuba
The US is however still vehemently opposed to making any concessions to Cuba.
The depressing conclusion of the economist is that neither the openness of the EU nor the challenge posed by the US will persuade Castro to loosen his iron grip on Cuba. Considering the current state of things they seem to be justified in saying so.
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