Friday, February 22, 2008

Raul's Future


Castro has finally stepped down. According to the Economist, his brother Raul will most take his position after having run the control since Castro's surgery. There are indications that Raul has plan for reform and as the Economist outlines it, he has two directions in which the country will take.


The first of two possibilities is for the communist party to maintain its control while introducing capitalism. The Economist reports that this is the route that most senior officials of the party seem to support. The second option, and the one preferred by the US, is the regime collapses and "makes a swift move to liberal democracy."
But given our track record in Iraq, and the thinning of our troops due to all of our operations abroad, I think I'd prefer the second option. Much of our future involvement will involve who becomes president in '08 for I don't see Bush involving himself now with Cuba. Obama has indicated that he's looking to increase the US' involvement in Latin America - perhaps if elected he'll take advantage of the change of power.


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